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Real Madrid and Borussia Dortmund Set for High-Stakes 2025 Club World Cup Quarter-Final Showdown

On July 1, 2025, Real Madrid secured a 1-0 victory over Juventus in the FIFA Club World Cup round of 16 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, with 21-year-old Gonzalo García scoring his third tournament goal via a header from a Trent Alexander-Arnold cross in the 54th minute. This win, under new coach Xabi Alonso, propelled the unbeaten LaLiga giants into a quarter-final clash against Borussia Dortmund, who edged out Monterrey 2-1 in Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium on the same day. Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy scored a first-half brace, assisted by Karim Adeyemi, to secure the win despite a second-half response from Monterrey’s Germán Berterame, denying former Real Madrid captain Sergio Ramos a reunion with his old club. The match, set for July 5, 2025, at 4:00 PM ET (9:00 PM WAT) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, promises a thrilling rematch of the 2024 UEFA Champions League final, where Madrid won 2-0.

Match Context and Key Dynamics

Real Madrid, five-time Club World Cup winners, have dominated Dortmund in recent encounters, winning their last four meetings, including a 5-2 thrashing in the 2024/25 Champions League and the 2024 final. However, Dortmund’s historic 4-1 win in the 2013 Champions League semifinals, led by Robert Lewandowski, shows their potential to upset. Madrid’s attack, bolstered by Kylian Mbappé’s return from a stomach virus, relies on Vinícius Jr. and Federico Valverde, while García’s emergence (three goals in four games) adds depth. Dortmund, coached by Niko Kovac, lean on Guirassy’s scoring prowess (three goals in the tournament, 37 across all competitions in 2024/25) and Adeyemi’s pace, but Jobe Bellingham’s suspension rules out a sibling duel with Real’s Jude Bellingham, a former Dortmund star. Kovac called the quarter-final a “bonus” for his overperforming side, while Alonso praised Madrid’s game management.

Quarter-Final Line-Up (All Times WAT)

  • Friday, July 4, 2025
    • Fluminense (BRA) vs. Al-Hilal (KSA), 8:00 PM, Camping World Stadium, Orlando
      • Fluminense advanced with a 0-0 draw against Mamelodi Sundowns, joining Brazil’s full contingent in the last 16, while Al-Hilal stunned Manchester City 2-1.
  • Saturday, July 5, 2025
    • Palmeiras (BRA) vs. Chelsea (ENG), 2:00 AM, Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia
      • Palmeiras topped Group A with a 1-0 win over Botafogo, led by Estevao Willian, while Chelsea overcame Benfica 4-1 in extra time.
    • Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) vs. Bayern Munich (GER), 5:00 PM, Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
      • PSG, 2024/25 Champions League winners, defeated Inter Miami 3-0, while Bayern edged Flamengo 4-3 in a high-scoring thriller.
    • Real Madrid (ESP) vs. Borussia Dortmund (GER), 9:00 PM, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford
      • The winner advances to face the PSG-Bayern victor in the semifinals on July 9 at 3:00 PM ET in East Rutherford.

Stakes and Sentiment

The quarter-finals feature five European teams (Real Madrid, Dortmund, PSG, Bayern, Chelsea), two Brazilian clubs (Fluminense, Palmeiras), and one from Saudi Arabia (Al-Hilal), with a $125 million prize for the winner. Dortmund’s upset potential, driven by Guirassy’s 8.5-rated performance against Monterrey, contrasts with Madrid’s depth and experience, with fans on X buzzing about the matchup. Madrid’s 14-match scoring streak and Dortmund’s defensive vulnerabilities (three goals conceded in four games) tilt the odds toward Los Blancos, but Kovac’s side remains a threat on the counter. The tournament’s cooling breaks and U.S. heat (32°C in Atlanta) add tactical challenges.

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